Elections in Belarus: regime change? FRIDE
Belarus’ presidential elections, on 19 December, come at a difficult moment for the country. Russia’s dissatisfaction with footing Belarus’ bills, but not getting what it wants in return, has grown into a smear campaign against president Alexander Lukashenka. The European Union is equally fed up with Minsk’s hostility to political reform. Europe is offering millions of euros in assistance for free elections. And cash is undoubtedly the carrot that matters most in Minsk.
Belarusians are ready for change. However, with the EU and Russia neutralising each other’s efforts, Lukashenka is expected to remain in power. With no serious challenger, the biggest threat to his success is the turnout.
http://www.fride.org/publicacion/836/elections-in-
belarus:-regime-change?