A recent research conducted by EPD’s member EESC – together with scholars from the Institute of International Relations and Political Sciences of Vilnius University – has attempted to provide detailed answers to the fundamental questions related to the security of Lithuania (and at the same time of the Baltic States). What is the impact of Russia’s domestic policies on its foreign policy? What key external and internal factors determine Russia’s priorities in foreign policy and security? On what ideologies does the Kremlin ground its actions in the international arena? What roles in Russia’s strategy for the Baltic States are played by hyper-militarised Kaliningrad Oblast and Belarus, which are closely integrated in the military area? What are the possible scenarios of Russia’s policy concerning the Baltic States?

By presenting the possible scenarios of Russia’s foreign policy, the models of Russia-Lithuania relations, their strengths and weaknesses, the research distinguishes the most and least likely implications on the Baltic countries and Eastern Europe for the years ahead.